Replies to post #121673 on Savvy Trades and Investments

[SSKILLZ1]

MTCH

Brought Some MTCH At $31.98 here today. here is what I like.

1) Given Guidance I expect about $3.35 in earnings this year. Analysts are about at $3.80 in the following year if anything I think that might be low. I do see this at returning to be a mid single digit revenue grower as well so that is a plus. With earnings growing at a much faster rate than that.

2) MTCH also initiated a dividend of .19 a quarter recently, granted it is not a lot at about 2.4% where I brought. But initiating a dividend policy is always a plus in my opinion.

3) MTCH is actively buying back Shares and expects to reduce the share count by 5-7% this year.

4) MTCH, I Like the new CEO Choice, plus the CEO recently brought about 2 million in shares at over $34. So if he thinks it is cheap there I should be happy buying under $32.

5) MTCH perhaps the most exciting part of this story is they will be growing margins over the next couple of years where we can see about a 300 BP improvement in Adjusted Operating Income Margins over the next several years, that combined with actively reducing share count, and decent top line growth, is gonna feed into some significant adjusted earnings growth over the next couple of years.

Conclusion: I like MTCH A lot here and think it was a very attractive buy sub $32. Time will tell. All is just my opinion, and I could always be wrong though.

[SSKILLZ1]

EMBC

Added more of this falling knife at $11.98 today. Now yielding over 5% which is a nice yield for getting paid to wait and trading at 4x time forecasted earnings seems waaaaaaaaaaaaaay to cheap. Time will tell. All is just my opinion, and I could always be wrong though.

[researcher59]

EMBC -1.10 to 12.48, after beating Sep Q4 estimates and issuing in line FY26 guidance. This two day 15% selloff since the earnings seems overdone. I picked up some shares today and wrote the Feb $12.5 covered calls for an overall cost basis of $11.30. Dividend yield is 4.8%.

11/25 morning briefing -

Embecta Corp. beats by $0.04, reports revs in-line; guides FY26 EPS in-line, revs in-line (14.64 ) :
Reports Q4 (Sep) earnings of $0.50 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.04 better than the FactSet Consensus of $0.46; revenues fell 7.7% year/year to $264 mln vs the $265.67 mln FactSet Consensus.
Co issues in-line guidance for FY26, sees EPS of $2.80-3.00, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $2.95 FactSet Consensus; sees FY26 revs of $1.071-1.093 bln vs. $1.08 bln FactSet Consensus.
"Our fourth quarter results were largely in line with our expectations, with revenue lower year over year due to several items we had previously anticipated, including the impact of advanced distributor ordering in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2024 in advance of a potential U.S. port strike; the impact of advanced distributor ordering in the third quarter of fiscal year 2025 in advance of the U.S. July 4th holiday; and the continuing business dynamics in China," said Devdatt (Dev) Kurdikar, Chief Executive Officer of embecta.
Mr. Kurdikar continued: "Meanwhile, in terms of profitability, our GAAP operating margin and net income were higher year over year, and we exceeded our previously provided fiscal year 2025 adjusted operating and adjusted EBITDA margin ranges. Also, our GAAP diluted earnings per share was higher year over year and our adjusted diluted earnings per share was at the top-end of our previously provided guidance range."
Mr. Kurdikar concluded: "Fiscal year 2025 marked the completion of the first phase of our strategic roadmap: one focused on major separation and stand-up activities, including implementing a global ERP system and operationalizing our own distribution network and shared services. We also initiated the second phase: seeding growth. By focusing on operational efficiency and executing restructuring, we were able to accelerate debt reduction and decrease our net leverage, creating additional financial flexibility for our goal to invest in growth. We remain committed to the initiatives announced at our 2025 Analyst and Investor Day, and in fiscal year 2026, we intend to maintain our global leadership position in our core product categories, execute on our new product programs, and generate strong adjusted operating margin and free cash flow. While the broader geopolitical and trade environment remains dynamic, we believe our global scale, resilient supply chain, and experienced teams position us well to build value for all stakeholders."