Replies to post #494652 on Tornado Alley (PROG)

[OMOLIVES]

lol.....it's called math. That study is ridiculous as noted by it's author. ?? My ability to apply critical thinking....lol. Let me show you how it works:

Does this mean that differing vaccine uptake levels between Republicans and Democrats caused the mortality gap? Goldsmith-Pinkham says this study alone doesn’t prove that’s the case. However, he believes it does offer “pretty good evidence” that vaccines are at least an important part of the story.

The sample is from two localities:

They gathered nearly 600,000 Ohio and Florida death records from 2018 to 2021 and matched those records to voter registration data from 2017. This allowed them to determine the party affiliation of each person who died.

The frequency of the second set, which is after said vaccination is:

Between March 2020 and March 2021, excess death rates for Republicans were 1.6 percentage points higher than for Democrats. After April 2021, the gap widened to 10.6 percentage points.

And in the very first paragraph:

but analyzing data at the county level makes it hard to be sure that party alone explains the differences. It’s theoretically possible that other factors about those counties, such as weather or average household size or availability of health care, could be more significant contributors to the death rate than how they voted.

It fails to mention those that were vaccinated and still lost their lives to it. It also fails to mention the most obvious:





In relation to this:

https://www.flhealthcharts.gov/ChartsDashboards/rdPage.aspx?rdReport=COVID19.Dataviewer&cid=9955

And especially this:

https://www.flhealthcharts.gov/ChartsDashboards/rdPage.aspx?rdReport=Covid19.Dataviewer

Which means there were 39,872 total "surveillance deaths" from Covid 19 during 2021 in Florida. If we conclude that half of those less 10% are republicans, that would mean 45% of said deaths were Democrat and 55% of deaths were Republican. So, 21,930 Republican died and 15,942 were Democrats. Which means...lol.....it's not even that close because the numbers don't mean shit:



There were only 14,287,711 registered voters in Florida during 2021. Of such, 5,123,799 were Republican and 5,080,697 were Democrat....and 4.1 Million were non affiliated or minor parties. Now extrapolate on the rough and give Democrats 35%, Republicans 35% and the rest...30%. We are excluding all deaths that are non registered voters so these numbers are skewed up.

In their scenario, over 10% more Republicans died than Democrats..and there are 1% more registered Republicans than Democrats. Which means that roughly 1200 more Republicans died than Democrats during 2021 in Florida. There was also 43,000 more of them :)

And those numbers are skewed very high. It was also the long care free version just to see if you read it. I could have written that in one simple paragraph....but that is generally how a brain should work before putting it down on paper. You know...critical thinking :)