GPN -8 to 103, after growth guidance at investor presentation falls short of analyst estimates -
briefing -
Global Payments follow-up; probing lows after detailing medium term outlook at Investor Day (105.03 -5.95) : Preliminary 2025 outlook: Adjusted net revenue growth (ex-dispositions) MSD; Adjusted operating margin expansion +50 bps; Adjusted EPS growth ~10% 2026-2027: Adjusted net revenue growth (ex-dispositions) MSD-HSD; Adjusted operating margin expansion 50-100 bps; Adjusted EPS growth low teens Financial Strategy / Go-forward capital allocation: 90%+ adj. FCF conversion, Achieve and maintain ~3x net leverage, CapEx of 7-8% of adj net revenue, $2B+ share repurchases annually, Target $7.5B+ of capital returned over next 3 years, Generate $8.5B-$9B of cumulative FCF over next 3 years, Potential divestitures in range of $500M - $600M in annual adj. net revenue