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boston745

07/09/24 3:51 PM

#41310 RE: joev2 #41309

You see the following about sheer market size and you continue to hammer that Sonny is the problem? Sonny's a big reason why their potential addressable markets is over $320 billion. Usually that warrants praise not ridicule; seriously its one thing to criticize but you gotta recognize achievements too. In regards to stockprice, you dont agree Sonny should be trying to defend the companies IP from vulture funds? If successful he can make stakeholders alot more money than if he lost and those funds ripped Sintx apart after taking Sintx private for pennies comparatively.
Sonny is stepping down as CEO so this suggests bulk R&D is done, as hes a scientist, and its time to get a commercialization oriented CEO. Time to commercialize that IP...way overdue imo.

Potential Market Size

One particular thing about Sintx is its current sales represents a fraction of 1% of its potential revenue because it has not actually transitioned into the commercialization phase yet. The 99% of its products remain in R&D stage. Sort of like a pharma company.

Silicon Nitride increases osteointrgration, improves imaging, and is antimicrobial (antiviral, antibacterial, antifungal) while being bioactive and biodegradable. That means as it corrodes the material breaks down into materials the body can use. For instance in an aqueous solution, Si3N4 turns into orthosilicic acid which the body utilizes for bone growth. Unlike other materials used in orthopeadic implants, Si3N4 shouldnt accumulate in the body as it can be excreted. Meanwhile Titanium, Trabecular Metal, PEEK, ZTA, all accumulate in the tissue, blood and/or organs. Metals seem to spread through the body while other ceramics and plastics mostly accumulate locally. This is all important to understand when you consider that Si3n4 is destined to replace current materials used in the $64 billion ortho implant industry. As Si3n4 can be used as a coating for metal implants and can be imbued in PEEK materials, it could and should capture almost the entire ortho industry but only though partnerships and licensing.

Markets Si3n4 can be used in (not comprehensive)

Otho Market = $64 billion
Personal Protective Equipment market = $79.53 billion
Global Catheter market = $55bn
Antibacterial market = $44.5bn
Wound Care market = $22.25bn
Biosensors Market = $28.9bn
Condom Market = $11.6bn
Dental Implant market = $4.99bn
Armor Materials Market = $13.59bn

Total = $324.36bn

Its honestly overwhelming the size of the markets Sintx material can be used in. Hypothetical scenario using 5% market penetration with a 5% licensing fee equates to $811m in yearly licensing revenue. Thus Si3N4 is worth at least $800m in potential yearly revenue for an acquiring company through licensing revenue according to this scenario. Its ability to penetrate the above markets will vary but Ortho & Catheter markets are markets that Si3N4 should significantly penetrate; with Wound Care & Dental being up there as well. Condom market is more hypothetical based on Si3N4 ability to kill Herpes and possibly other STI. However would need to be studied further to ensure it doesnt impact the delicate microbe balance inside a vaginal canal. A new patent was awarded Sintx for the use of Si3n4 against funguses that impact the wine industry providing yet another market it can tap into. This could be a market that they could break into sooner than some of the others listed above but it wouldnt be as lucrative.

Sources:
https://web.archive.org/web/2024040...ogger.blogspot.com/2011/05/whos-next.html?m=1
https://orthospinenews.com/2021/01/...y-2025-as-acquisitions-surge-says-globaldata/
https://www.grandviewresearch.com/industry-analysis/personal-protective-equipment-ppe-market
https://www.grandviewresearch.com/industry-analysis/catheters-market-analysis
https://www.grandviewresearch.com/industry-analysis/wound-care-market
https://www.grandviewresearch.com/industry-analysis/biosensors-market
https://www.grandviewresearch.com/industry-analysis/condom-market
https://www.mordorintelligence.com/industry-reports/armor-materials-market
https://www.grandviewresearch.com/industry-analysis/dental-implants-market