Of course he has a 'chance', as the shifting poll numbers reveal. You've lived long enough to know what 'raging' inflation looks like, 4% ain't it. GOP hysteria, that doesn't take into account obvious corp. price gouging, VS abortion policies based upon 19th century laws and timeless theocratic junk science?
I'm not guessing here. EVERY special election with reproductive rights on the ballot has destroyed the GOP position on that issue. SCOTUS wanted it decided by the States, decided it has been and WILL be. Think that the current fiasco in AZ helps the GOP? And there won't be any ticket splitting as NO one believes whatever Trump pulls out of his ass on this issue.
After all he's on the record as taking credit for the Dobbs decision, rightfully so as he put judges 'I love beer' Kavanaugh, Amy 'Hand Maids Tale' Barrett and Neil 'Originalist Unless it Conflicts with my Biases' Gorsuch on the SCOTUS.
Go ahead lose your shit over inflation and lose the election over abortion and the GOP Taliban's inability to stop from stepping on rakes and the weight of Orange Retribution around their feckless necks.