Anyone who has been paying attention these four years knew it was coming. The Republicans have disintegrated into a cult called MAGA, and only Trump is the leader. Barely 50 % of the old Republican Party actually supports trump, and those supporters are literally afraid of those Trump supporters.
Trump supporters are prone to violence and trump himself believes attacking anyone who questions his authority.
On the other side you have a decent man President Biden, a skilled politician who understands how government works, and believes in the separation of government branches and advances an agenda that benefits the entire country.
The election itself will be close, there are RED states and BLUE states, and those will vote accordingly, what is in play are the battleground states. That is where any election is either won or lost, turnout will be the deciding factor.
The economy is an issue, along with immigration, democracy, along with abortion. On the world front, there is Ukraine, Israel, and like always Russia, China, and Saudi Arabia doing their best to create challenges for any administration.
Oil prices in the middle eighties can become a factor for any number of reasons.