Replies to post #423654 on Tornado Alley (PROG)

[fuagf]

It's all very interesting. The sources pushing the discarded Kozak deal

"Exclusive: As war began, Putin rejected a Ukraine peace deal recommended by aide
[...]The Ukrainian-born envoy, Dmitry Kozak, told Putin that he believed the deal he had hammered out removed the need for Russia to pursue a large-scale occupation of Ukraine, according to these sources. Kozak's recommendation to Putin to adopt the deal is being reported by Reuters for the first time.
[...]Asked about Reuters findings, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said: "That has absolutely no relation to reality. No such thing ever happened. It is absolutely incorrect information.""

and the denial it ever existed. Likely Peskov's denial is not worthy of belief. Though the story cold be meant to further discredit Putin. Who knows, eh.

Though it could actually be the reason why,

"Six months on from the start of the war, Kozak remains in his post as Kremlin deputy chief of staff. But
he is no longer handling the Ukraine dossier, according to six of the sources who spoke to Reuters.
[...]
"From what I can see, Kozak is nowhere to be seen," said one of the six, a source close to the separatist leadership in eastern Ukraine."

still it's interesting Kozak has disappeared as he was one mentioned as a possible replacement for Putin. Among many others, still...

Who will replace Putin?
"Coup to remove cancer-stricken Putin underway in Russia, Ukrainian intelligence chief says"
[...]
Another contender is Dmitry Kozak, 61, the deputy prime minister who was in charge of the construction ahead of the Sochi Olympics, estimated to cost $50 billion. Reports last week suggested .. https://meduza.io/news/2020/01/25/vladislav-surkov-ushel-s-gossluzhby .. he will take the lead in overseeing the Russia-backed breakaway republics in eastern Ukraine.
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See also:

You know it -- Russian democracy is a farce. Putin wants the same fate for America
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'Putin might do the unthinkable': Former intelligence chief warns that the conflict in Ukraine has increased the risk of nuclear war.
[...]
It's too soon to say how much of the Russian public is ready to turn on Putin, but many have acknowledged the possibility that a perceived threat to his ongoing rule could cause him to overreact.
"I don't think he's a rational actor," General H.R. McMaster, the former national security adviser, said on Face the Nation. "He's driven by a desire to remain in power until at least 2036. I think now he knows that all of that is at risk."
P - Clapper agreed that Putin appears to be increasingly volatile. "He was always hard, cold, disciplined, almost machine-like," Clapper told me. "Now his anger — fury — show.
P - His meandering, incoherent rants are illogical and scary. He has no one who can push back and disagree with him." A tactical nuclear strike, he added, could offer Putin a way out of a situation that is starting to look increasingly untenable.
P - "It is a risk, or at least more of a risk than it was a week ago," Clapper said. "The fact that we are even having such a discussion is reflective of the realization that yes, Putin might do the unthinkable."
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