Wow this doesn't look good ? Orchid Island Capital: Insolvency Risks Grow As Fed Considers MBS Sales
The Federal Reserve's massive ~$2.8T MBS portfolio has not declined at the anticipated pace, meaning the Fed may soon look to sell MBS securities outright.
Orchid Island Capital has significant negative exposure to interest rates, with its sensitivity analysis suggesting a 2% rise in interest rates would cause its book value to fall ~68%.
Orchid Island's business model may be unsustainable as both lower and higher interest rates usually harm its book value, leading to chronic book value losses over the past decade.
If mortgage rates spike higher as the Federal Reserve pursues MBS sales, Orchid Island may face insolvency later this year.