PINPOINT? I GAVE MY REASONS WHY I ENTERED INTO MY LONG TERM SPY PUTS SETUP. I AVOID TRYING TO PINPOINT SHORT TERM TIMING, IT MAKES NO DIFFERENCE FOR MY INVESTMENT STRATEGY. I ALWAYS SAID FUNDAMENTALS WILL POP THE CRAZY BUBBLE AT SOME POINT (SOONER THAN LATER) WHICH IS WHY I AVERAGED CHEAP PUTS DURING FED PUMPS TO AVOID CHASING THE MARKET DOWN WHEN IT DOES CORRECT.
YOUR TA MISSED THIS ENTIRELY.... LAGGING INDICATORS. IF YOUR TA PREDICTED THIS WHY DIDN'T YOU LOAD UP ON CHEAP PUTS LIKE I DID?
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