News Focus
News Focus
icon url

littlejohn

08/26/21 2:11 AM

#90343 RE: bbotcs #90342

Invest 99L, Euro shows Houston in early

runs as near potential target...


https://www.myfoxhurricane.com/ecmwf_atl_mslp.html


STAGGERING early agreement on a

course toward Gulf coast by models...


https://web.uwm.edu/hurricane-models/models/al992021.png


site source for that link...


https://www.trackthetropics.com/invest99/


Cat 3 would seem possible with

987 mbl low a day off coast and

dropping to 985 mbl near land fall...


Don't think the NHC can even do

a forecast cone before the depression

has formed to fix position...


This afternoon on tv is first time

I remember the models being used so

early to give advance watch info,

without a cone...


But the models tracking lows to

predict rain coming came first

before other modeling evolved...


Verification of early data would

Not be good...


so we watch...LJ