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Babylon

10/25/03 1:59 PM

#165044 RE: langostino #165040

..when Microsoft goes after them (it's not a question of if, but when), they will be at a disadvantage -- not because they will lack capital, creativity, first-mover advantage, be less constrained by corporate bloat, etc. ... but because search is conducted from inside a browser and Microsoft owns the browser.

Langostino, are you also implying that Yahoo! would also be in trouble as a result of this? TIA.





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Zeev Hed

10/25/03 3:03 PM

#165060 RE: langostino #165040

Actually, #6,526,440 , is pretty broad, covers both methods and systems, licensing would be a better approach for MSFT, IMTO. I think, however, that the dollar amount of advertising is simply not going to go above I would say, 2% of GDP, or about $200 B annually (if someone has a better estimate please chime in). Since that is distributed amongst many types of media, I doubt that I-net advertising will capture more than 10% of such value (probably optimistic), and Google might , best case, get 10% of that, or $20 B in some distant point in the future, a market cap of $20 B, will already discount quite a number of future years growth, IMTO.

By the way, 20020123988 (not issued yet, but 18 months or longer since filing) is also quite nifty.