Replies to post #160086 on Zeev's Turnips Patch-No Politics (ZEEV)

[extelecom]

Wahz... me thinks UP!

[Zeev Hed]

Be or have been? the plus 25% puts it just under 2400, the minus 25% puts it at 1436.

[DlphcOracl]

wahz: The answer to your question is "neither".

The market indices will slowly work their way higher, in fits and starts, but we will not see the dramatic gains between now and 7/1/04 that we've had this year. Meanwhile, I doubt we get more than a 10% dip at any time during this interval.

[James T Kirk]

Neither

My last choice would be both.

[Myself °¿°]

^Up!^

[pstuartb]

Wahz, put me down for "down."

I'm not very comfortable with that though, and "neither" seems about as likely. I suspect you're going to find the majority to be bullish here. I hope lots of people respond.

[Emptyhead]

OK,this should be fun!

This market will rally hard into next year and we will see close to 25% but by July 1 04 there will have already begun a blowoff top with a summer sell and a recovery rally into election. All the FED pumping will have a serious drag afterwards. Payback is a %itch! Then the party ends. The gambit here,no one would have thought 2003 would have seen a market recovery the likes of which we witnessed and now those who did not participate initially are all excited about attending the party. That kind of gambit could further fuel the fun well into next year. So goes the market so goes the election in 04.

[augieboo]

UP

[gottfried]

wahz, I vote UP for your poll. Gottfried

[SantaCruz]

UP

[Bacchus_II]

I vote Down

[brainlessone]

i see 3100 as possibility

[wahz]

TO ALL:
NEW POLE 10/11/03

You blew the first one pretty badly, I am sorry to say, but you have another chance!:

Is the market more likely to be up or down 25% at some point from now until 7/1/04, relative to yesterdays close?

up would mean we'd hit around 2375.
down would mean we would hit around 1425.
you can say NEITHER or BOTH

Good luck!

----------------------

There have been only ten guesses so far. In january, we had 48, and a few dozen folks who made light of trying to guess.

I'll update the results Wednesday and ask for more votes and we'll end it by next Saturday.

ONLY TWO FOLKS WITH 100+ BOOKMARKS HAVE VOTED SO FAR