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02/03/20 6:13 PM

#338329 RE: fuagf #338297

What’s at Stake in the Iowa Caucuses

"Conservatives push false claims of voter fraud on Twitter as Iowans prepare to caucus"

By REID J. EPSTEIN and ADRIANA RAMIC

OELWEIN, Iowa — A historically large Democratic presidential field has been narrowed to 11, with these seven candidates mounting competitive efforts in Iowa. If history and the laws of mathematics are any guide, no more than four of them will emerge from the caucuses on Monday with a plausible case to be the Democratic nominee against President Trump.

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Public polling averages show Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont and former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. atop the field, with Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts and former Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Ind., bundled close behind. Yet there are few close observers of Iowa politics who feel confident in their prognostications. Other than a widespread belief that Mr. Sanders will place first or, at worst, second, the other three leading candidates could each place anywhere from first to fourth without it being a shock.

Iowa awards just 41 delegates to the Democratic National Convention, a tiny fraction of the more than 1,900 required to become the party’s nominee. But all the candidates competing here agree that whoever wins, or at least overperforms expectations, will suddenly have momentum as the field moves to New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina and beyond.

When the caucuses begin

Monday, Feb. 3, 8 p.m. Eastern time.

Delegates at stake 41

Results

Live results will be posted on nytimes.com beginning at 8 p.m. Eastern time.

Here’s how important Iowa is to each candidate.

More - https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/02/03/us/politics/2020-iowa-caucus-date-time.html