Replies to post #157877 on Zeev's Turnips Patch-No Politics (ZEEV)

[Zeev Hed]

I think you underestimate what an increase in profit margins from the current $48/50% to the 55%/58% range can do, and for that the top line need not go up by much more than 15%, I see them growing over the next few years the top line from the current quarterly rate of about $7 B to about $9 B plus. That could bring their quarterly earnings to the $2.3 to $2.5 B or about $9 to $10 B annually, or about $1.40 to $1.50 per share. At the top of the cycle these earnings could easily "fetch" a PE 32 to 35 or around $45 plus per share. Still much lower than the PE commanded at the top of the last cycle. I just think that he top of the next cycle will be much earlier than you assume, I would not be surprised the top to be late next year.

[Zeev Hed]

Well, you were doubting the 55% to 58% margin for INTC, they are forecasting 60% gross margins for the fourth quarter, as usual, I was very conservative... (g). of course, the stock is flying now..$31.50 as I type...