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Replies to #38706 on Biotech Values
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DewDiligence

12/06/06 4:51 PM

#38709 RE: DewDiligence #38706

Telling THRM operating metric:

In 3Q06, there were 5.3 procedures per installed device per month. That’s 1.2 procedures per week.

Even after allowing for summer vacations, the only way device utilization can possibly be that low is if some docs are letting their devices collect dust in a closet.
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DewDiligence

02/13/07 4:24 PM

#42046 RE: DewDiligence #38706

THRM Reports 4Q06 Results

[Revenue in the quarter was up 18% from 3Q06 and 58% from 4Q05, but still rather anemic in terms of procedures per installed system, which is IMO a good gauge for the traction THRM is gaining at this stage of the company’s development. As I do not believe that the company’s device works, I am waiting for an opportune to sell short. CC at 4:30 pm ET; feedback is warmly welcomed from anyone who listens.]

http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=178331&p=irol-newsArticle&ID=962709&highligh...

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Company Achieves Record Revenue; Q4 Revenue and Net Income Each Increase by $5.4 Million Over Prior Year Period

HAYWARD, Calif., Feb. 13 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Thermage, Inc. (Nasdaq: THRM ), a leader in non-invasive tissue tightening in the aesthetic industry, today reported financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2006.

Revenue for the quarter ended December 31, 2006 was $14.8 million, up 58% from $9.3 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2005. Gross profit increased to $10.7 million or 72.3% of revenue, for the quarter ended December 31, 2006, up from $5.9 million or 63.0% of revenue for the quarter ended December 31, 2005. The Company reported GAAP net income of $1.4 million with no income allocable to common stockholders for the quarter ended December 31, 2006, versus a net loss of $4.0 million, or $1.06 per share, for the quarter ended December 31, 2005. Non-GAAP net income for the fourth quarter of 2006 was $0.3 million, or $0.02 per share, compared to a net loss of $3.1 million, or $0.20 per share, for the prior year period.

"In the fourth quarter, we experienced strong revenue growth in both U.S. and international markets," said Stephen J. Fanning, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer. "U.S. revenue increased 69% and international revenue increased 47% as compared to the fourth quarter of 2005. Recurring revenue generated by our ThermaTips and other consumable products represented 74% of total revenue during the period.

"We are very pleased with the treatment tips, applications, and practice marketing tools we introduced to our customers in 2006," continued Mr. Fanning. "In 2007, we will focus on continuing to deliver new treatment tips and applications to our worldwide installed base of over 2,000 customers. We anticipate driving further leverage from our industry unique business model built predominantly on strong recurring revenue. In addition, we are committed to building lasting partnerships with our customers."

Revenue for the year ended December 31, 2006 was $54.3 million, up 34% from $40.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2005. Gross profit increased to $39.1 million, or 71.9% of revenue for the year ended December 31, 2006, up from $28.3 million, or 69.7% of revenue, for the year ended December 31, 2005. The Company reported a GAAP net loss of $3.9 million, or $0.60 per share, for the year ended December 31, 2006 versus a net loss of $8.2 million, or $2.25 per share, for the year ended December 31, 2005. Non- GAAP net loss for the years ended December 31, 2006 and 2005 was $1.2 million, or $0.07 per share, and $7.3 million, or $0.46 per share, respectively.

Guidance:

Management expects revenue for full year 2007 to be in a range of $65 million to $68 million, an increase of 20% to 25% over full year 2006.

For the full year 2007, we expect GAAP diluted earnings per share to be in a range of a net loss of $0.04 per share to net income of $0.03 per share. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share are expected to be in a range of net income of $0.16 to $0.23 per share. The per share earnings amounts are based on fully diluted weighted average shares of 26 million.

Conference Call:

The conference call is scheduled to begin at 1:30 p.m. PST (4:30 p.m. EST) on February 13, 2007. The call will be broadcast live over the Internet hosted at the Investor Relations section of the Company's website at www.thermage.com. In addition, you may call to listen to the live broadcast: 800-257-1836 for domestic participants and 303-262-2143 for international participants. Participating in the call will be Stephen J. Fanning, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Laureen DeBuono, Chief Financial Officer.

A taped replay of the conference call will also be available beginning approximately one hour after the call's conclusion and will remain accessible for seven days. This replay can be accessed by dialing 800-405-2236, Pass code 11077434# for domestic callers and 303-590-3000, Pass code 11077434# for international callers. An archived web cast will also be available at www.thermage.com.

About Thermage, Inc.

Thermage's innovative technology provides a unique non-invasive procedure designed to tighten and contour skin, significantly expanding the non-invasive aesthetic applications physicians can offer to the rapidly growing "anti- aging" market. For more information, call 1-510-259-7117 or visit www.thermage.com

Thermage, Inc.
CONDENSED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(in thousands of dollars, except share and per share data)
(unaudited)

Three Months Ended Years Ended
December 31, December 31,
2006 2005 2006 2005

Net revenue $14,751 $9,338 $54,320 $40,655
Cost of revenue 4,087 3,452 15,259 12,309

Gross margin 10,664 5,886 39,061 28,346

Operating expenses
Sales and marketing 6,136 4,927 24,071 19,997
Research and development 2,510 2,365 9,639 8,908
General and administrative 2,628 1,913 9,973 7,414
Litigation settlement gain - - - (1,646)

Total operating expenses 11,274 9,205 43,683 34,673

Loss from operations (610) (3,319) (4,622) (6,327)
Interest and other income 393 89 768 340
Interest and other expense 1,606 (809) (55) (1,549)

Income (loss) before income taxes
and cumulative effect of change
in accounting principle 1,389 (4,039) (3,909) (7,536)
Provision for income taxes - - - -

Income (loss) before cumulative
effect of change in
accounting principle 1,389 (4,039) (3,909) (7,536)

Cumulative effect of change
in accounting principle - - - (697)

Net income (loss) $1,389 $(4,039) $(3,909) $(8,233)

Income (loss) allocable to
common stockholders $0 $(4,039) $(3,909) $(8,233)

Net income (loss) per share -
basic and diluted:
Before cumulative effect of
change in accounting principle - - - $(2.06)
Cumulative effect of change
in accounting principle - - - (0.19)

Net income (loss) per share -
basic and diluted $0.00 $(1.06) $(0.60) $(2.25)

Weighted average shares outstanding
used in calculating net income
(loss) per common share:
Basic and diluted 13,578,831 3,802,128 6,561,648 3,664,990


Thermage, Inc
NON-GAAP RECONCILIATION OF NET INCOME (LOSS) AND NET INCOME (LOSS) PER
SHARE
(in thousands, except share and per share data)
(unaudited)

Three Months Ended Years Ended
December 31, December 31,
2006 2005 2006 2005

GAAP net income (loss) $1,389 $(4,039) $(3,909) $(8,233)

Non-GAAP adjustments to
net income (loss):
Stock-based compensation (a) 855 187 3,517 456
Litigation settlement gain (b) - - - (1,646)
Impact of change in fair
value of preferred warrant
liabilities (c) (1,912) 737 (837) 2,136
Total non-GAAP adjustments
to net income (loss) (1,057) 924 2,680 946
Non-GAAP net income (loss) $332 $(3,115) $(1,229) $(7,287)


GAAP basic and diluted net
income (loss) per share $0.00 $(1.06) $(0.60) $(2.25)

Non-GAAP adjustments to basic
& diluted income (loss) per share:
Stock-based compensation (a) 0.04 0.01 0.21 0.03
Litigation settlement gain (b) - - - (0.10)
Impact of change in fair value
of preferred warrant
liabilities (c) (0.10) 0.05 (0.05) 0.14
Impact of higher weighted average
shares due to assumed conversion
of preferred shares (d) 0.07 0.81 0.37 $1.72
Non-GAAP basic net income
(loss) per share $0.02 $(0.20) $(0.07) $(0.46)

Non-GAAP diluted net income
(loss) per share $0.02 $(0.20) $(0.07) $(0.46)

Weighted average shares
outstanding used in calculating
non-GAAP basic net income
(loss) per common share: 19,555,404 15,844,099 17,081,516 15,707,264


GAAP weighted average shares
outstanding used in calculating
net income (loss) per
common share: 13,578,831 3,802,128 6,561,648 3,664,990
Adjustments to reflect
assumed weighted average
effect of conversion of
preferred stock 5,976,573 12,041,971 10,519,868 12,042,274
Weighted average shares
outstanding used in
calculating non-GAAP basic
net income (loss) per
common share: 19,555,404 15,844,099 17,081,516 15,707,264

Adjustments to unvested
common stock subject
to repurchase 6,875 - - -

Adjustments for dilutive
potential common stock 2,479,998 - - -

Weighted average shares
outstanding used in
calculating non-GAAP
diluted net income per
common share: 22,042,277 15,844,099 17,081,516 15,707,264


(a) Includes all employee and non-employee stock-based compensation
charges
(b) Includes litigation settlement gain recorded in June 2005
(c) Includes the impact of cumulative effect of change in accounting
principle and subsequent adjustments related to the revaluation of the
Company's preferred stock warrant liability during the period.
(d) Assumes the conversion of the Company's convertible preferred stock
into shares of common stock at the beginning of the period.


Thermage, Inc.
CONDENSED BALANCE SHEETS
(in thousands of dollars, except share and per share data)
(Unaudited)

December 31, December 31,
2006 2005

ASSETS
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents $45,915 $10,121
Accounts receivable, net 3,285 2,857
Inventories, net 5,219 5,411
Prepaid expenses and other
current assets 1,717 1,350

Total current assets 56,136 19,739

Restricted cash - 107
Property and equipment, net 3,638 4,073
Other assets 101 113

Total assets $59,875 $24,032

LIABILITIES, REDEEMABLE CONVERTIBLE
PREFERRED STOCK AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY
Liabilities
Accounts payable $1,398 $1,977
Accrued liabilities 7,372 4,774
Current portion of deferred revenue 1,151 1,188
Customer deposits 62 45
Current portion of borrowings - 808

Total current liabilities 9,983 8,792
Deferred rent, net of current portion 55 110
Other long-term liabilities - 107
Deferred revenue, net of current portion 716 610
Borrowings, net of current portion - 4,040
Preferred stock warrants liability - 3,937

Total liabilities 10,754 17,596


Redeemable convertible preferred stock,
$0.001 par value:
shares authorized: 10,000,000 and
26,350,000 shares at 2006 and
2005, respectively
issued and outstanding: none and
12,042,274 shares at 2006 and
2005, respectively - 45,169


Stockholders' equity (deficit):
Common stock, $0.001 par value:
shares authorized: 100,000,000 and
29,100,000 shares at 2006 and 2005
issued and outstanding: 22,906,851
and 4,037,774 issued and outstanding 23 4
Additional paid-in capital 93,418 5,682
Deferred stock-based compensation (6) (3,541)
Notes receivable from stockholders (125) (598)
Accumulated deficit (44,189) (40,280)

Total stockholders' equity (deficit) 49,121 (38,733)

Total liabilities and
stockholders' equity $59,875 $24,032
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