Impulse Wave 1 - The Accumulation Stage the Wave right after a prolonged downtrend.
Wave 1
The stock makes its initial move upwards. This is usually caused by a relatively small number of people that all of the sudden (for a variety of reasons, real or imagined) feel that the price of the stock is cheap so it’s a perfect time to buy. This causes the price to rise.
Wave 2 - Stock Declines
At this point, enough people who were in the original wave consider the stock overvalued and take profits. This causes the stock to go down. However, the stock will not make it to its previous lows before the stock is considered a bargain again
Wave 3
This is usually the longest and strongest wave. The stock has caught the attention of the mass public. More people find out about the stock and want to buy it. This causes the stock’s price to go higher and higher. This wave usually exceeds the high created at the end of Wave 1.
Wave 4
Traders take profits because the stock is considered expensive again. This Wave tends to be weak because there are usually more people that are still bullish on the stock and are waiting to “buy on the dips.”
Wave 5
This is the point that most people get in on the stock, and is mostly driven by hysteria. You usually start seeing the CEO of the company on the front page of major magazines as the Person of the Year. Traders and investors start coming up with ridiculous reasons to buy the stock and try to choke you when you disagree with them.
This is when the stock becomes the most overpriced. Contrarians start shorting the stock which starts the ABC pattern.
Fibonacci Numbers are commonly used in Technical Analysis with or without a knowledge of Elliot Wave Analysis to determine potential support, resistance, and price objectives.
The most popular FibonacciRetracements are 61.8% and 38.2%
61.8% retracements imply a new trend is establishing itself.
38.2% retracements usually imply that the prior trend will continue
38.2% retracements are considered natural retracements in a healthy trend.
Fibonacci Retracements can be applied after a decline to forecast the length of a counter-trend bounce.
The 50% retracement is not based on a Fibonacci number. Instead, this number stems from Dow Theory's assertion that the Averages often retrace half their prior move.
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