Sorry I'm not buying it. The JPMorgan excuse is too complicated. Buybacks can't be done with deposit money. The JP Morgan story was a plant, bs, to disguise the truth.
I believe the first scenario. That the Federal Reserve bailed out Deutsche Bank. A German bank. If Trump learned the truth, he would have fired the FED, all of them. Powell be damned!
First of all, the September excuse was tax payments were too much and the FED had to step in. Well that doesn't explain October.
Deutsche Bank had already announced laying off +20,000 employees. They were shrinking the bank.
REPOS don't have to be paid off the next day.
The big banks didn't want to bail out Deutsche Bank, because they didn't think they would be paid back. And they didn't want to get stuck with Treasuries in which they already had too much of.
And the big banks didn't believe they would get the treasuries because if Deutsche Bank went bankrupt, the treasuries might get locked up before sent to the big banks.
The reduction of QE by the FED last year, is a process in which, they buy back fewer treasuries that expire. Lets say $100B expire and they buy only $75B. It was supposed to reduce the price of Treasuries because the US debt is still increasing the the FED was buying less. But it didn't. Until 5 weeks ago.
The FED resumed QE but lets not call it QE. Now it's REPO's.
That was supposed to make the Treasury Notes go even higher.
But that isn't the case. The Treasuries peaked 5 weeks ago. Interest rates have been going up.
The FED has lost control.
Remember Europe's interest rate is below zero. Why would anyone buy notes with negative value? Because they expected rates to go even lower and they could sell those notes at a gain.
Uh Oh. Now interest rates are going up. The bag holders are not happy.