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11/17/19 8:05 PM

#585 RE: DeerBalls #584

Guatemala president pledges swift conclusion to Escobal consultation
Bnamericas
Published: Tuesday, October 08, 2019
Legislation & Regulation






Guatemala president pledges swift conclusion to Escobal consultation
Guatemalan President Jimmy Morales said a consultation required to
restart operations at Pan American Silver's Escobal mine will be
completed by the time he leaves office in January.


The consultation, run by the energy and mines ministry (MEM) in
communities around the suspended silver-lead-zinc mine, is one of four
key projects Morales said he will conclude prior to the handover of
power to president-elect Alejandro Giammattei on January 14.

The others are the US$59mn Chimaltenango bypass, the 2018 census and
putting a US-backed migration agreement into effect.

"All will be finished by the end of my term," Morales was quoted as
saying by local daily Prensa Libre.

Escobal, one of Latin America's biggest silver producers, has been
halted since June 2017 due to a license suspension and roadblock.

REALISTIC?

The president's pledge – confirmed by social communication secretary
Alfredo Brito – has met with skepticism with less than 100 days left of
his term.

Giammattei – who won a resounding victory over former first lady Sandra
Torres in the August run-off – urged Morales not to attempt in three
months what he was unable to achieve in four years, Prensa Libre
reported.

And a January target to conclude the Escobal consultation does appear
optimistic.


The constitutional court last year ordered a four-stage consultation
process, following the International Labour Organization's convention
169 (ILO 169).

The first stage review has been completed with the second stage pre-
consultation underway, Vancouver-based Pan American said in May.

But doubts about the formal consultation (stage three) have emerged,
with Giammattei saying rules over how convention 169 is applied have
not yet been established.

The president-elect's choice for mining minister, Alberto Pimentel, told
television station Canal Antigua he aims to settle the issue in the
first 90 days of Giammattei's presidency.

LONG-TERM APPROACH

With question marks hanging over the formal consultation and a fourth-
stage supreme court approval to follow, a swift conclusion –
as outlined by Morales – appears unlikely.

Pan American CEO Michael Steinmann has said he is taking a long-term
approach regarding the asset, saying he wants to take time to listen to
communities’ concerns.

The company has also declined to give any estimate for the consultation
timing.

“The ILO 169 consultation process is led by the energy and mines
ministry, and we are supporting as and when directed,” Siren Fisekci,
VP, investor relations and corporate communications, told BNamericas in
an emailed statement.

“As this is a government-led process, we are not able to provide any
timelines or estimates for completion at this time.”

FRESH APPROACH?

Giammattei's victory in the polls followed pledges to root out
corruption and tackle widespread poverty in the Central American nation
– areas in which Morales has failed.

While establishing the conditions needed for a mining rebound was not a
key campaign pledge, the sector is a potential vehicle to lift
communities out of poverty, while boosting tax receipts.

Incoming minister Pimentel highlighted restoring legal certainty as a
top priority.

There is a long way to go to meet this aim.

While the Escobal consultation drags on, the situation for miners
nationally deteriorated in July with the constitutional court's
suspension of Solway Investment Group's Fénix nickel mine.

Kappes, Cassiday & Associates is also pursuing an international
arbitration claim against the Guatemalan state over the previous
suspension of its Tambor gold operation.

The timing of the Escobal consultation is unclear, but a successful
conclusion would be just a first step toward putting Guatemala back on
the map as a destination for mining investment.

https://www.bnamericas.com/en/analysis/guatemala-president-pledges-swift-conclusion-to-escobal-consultation

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