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09/03/19 7:29 PM

#324577 RE: fuagf #324310

Brexit: Boris Johnson’s Government Loses Working Majority After MP Defects To Liberal Democrats

"Only one person can avert a no-deal Brexit. And that’s Boris Johnson"

Isabel Togoh
Forbes Staff

Sep 3, 2019, 12:01pm

[...]

What happens now: Tonight MPs will vote on seizing control of the Commons in order to try and rush through law which will force Johnson to ask for a three-month extension to the Brexit deadline unless a deal is reached by October 19. Time is short because Johnson will suspend, or prorogue, Parliament from September 9, during which time MPs will not sit for around five weeks.

If tonight’s vote doesn’t go in favor of the opposition, Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn could table a vote of no confidence which, if Johnson loses, gives opposition MPs 14 days to form an alternative government, while Johnson could also use this time to persuade his colleagues to allow him to carry on. But if the opposition wins, Number 10 has threatened to call a general election on October 14.

Otherwise, MPs will have to cross their fingers that Johnson can renegotiate a deal with the EU before his “do or die” Halloween deadline, something which the trading bloc has shown unwillingness to do.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/isabeltogoh/2019/09/03/brexit-boris-johnsons-government-loses-working-majority-after-mp-defects-to-liberal-democrats/#85560c9392d6

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Second referendum odds: will the public get another say on Brexit?

Aug 20, 2019
James Ashford

Corbyn hints that Labour could stay neutral in a second EU vote


Oli Scarff/AFP/Getty Images
A pro-Brexit protester pushes away the placard of a supporter of a second EU referendum

Jeremy Corbyn has refused to rule out Labour staying neutral if a second referendum was a choice between remaining in the EU and a Labour Brexit deal.

See related

Pros and cons of a second Brexit referendum
https://www.theweek.co.uk/76232/brexit-pros-and-cons-of-a-second-eu-referendum

Would Brexiteers boycott a second referendum?
https://www.theweek.co.uk/99871/would-brexiteers-boycott-a-second-referendum

What is the Irish backstop?
https://www.theweek.co.uk/brexit/87818/what-is-the-irish-backstop

The Labour Party leader confirmed that he would campaign to remain in the EU against a no-deal Brexit. But when given a choice of a Labour deal or remaining in the EU, Corbyn did not say which side he would back, reports The Guardian .. https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/aug/19/labour-may-stay-neutral-if-second-referendum-is-between-its-brexit-deal-or-remain .

Shadow chancellor John McDonnell said that, while he would campaign to remain in such a scenario, the Labour party’s position was subject to “democratic process”.

McDonnell told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme: “I think generally people want to provide the electorate with a choice. I’ve made it clear from my personal position that I’ll be campaigning for Remain. I think that’s the best choice.”

But Corbyn refused to answer directly when asked if he personally would support Remain in a people’s vote.

What are the odds of a second referendum going ahead?

According to the bookmakers .. https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/brexit/2nd-eu-referendum , Corbyn’s lukewarm support for a referendum and Boris Johnson’s dogged desire to avoid one at all costs means the odds are against the so-called People’s Vote, with 1/25 against another poll, and 12/1 for.

The Prime Minister has repeatedly resisted calls to hold a second referendum, insisting that the UK would leave the EU on 31 October with or without a deal, in accordance with the result of the 2016 vote.

“The problem for Johnson,” says Foreign Policy .. https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/08/15/boris-johnson-needs-a-second-referendum-to-stay-in-power-uk-brexit-no-deal-peoples-vote/ , “is that British voters have never had the opportunity to vote on what kind of Brexit they want."

More - https://www.theweek.co.uk/99075/brexit-crossover-boosts-second-referendum-odds

See also:

I remember Obama's warning .. love to see another plebiscite or referendum, whatever it was
2016 - https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=124964928