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Replies to #1984 on Ring of Fire
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Keith K

11/15/06 9:41 PM

#1985 RE: CaribbeanJim #1984

Thanks, and I have to agree with what Hulbert is saying. The VIX/VXN can't be used like other typical oscillating indicators, and I have never been able to use it as a contrarian indicator.

I view it as a way to gauge how "professionally" the market is behaving. Dropping volatility implies the market is acting "intelligently" and vice-versa. So, depending on where price stands, market "intelligence" is a guide to where price will travel next. "Smart" would say to expect a pullback around here. What should then follow is a chopping VXN as price quickly retracts, and then the "smart" money will begin buying back in.

That's my take on it anyway.
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omandan

11/15/06 10:24 PM

#1993 RE: CaribbeanJim #1984

Jim
Great artical, thanks for sharing that with us.
Dan