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trader53

12/11/18 2:55 AM

#175684 RE: trader53 #175458

The Primary III Secular Bull Market - Will Resume

Expect a Multi-Year Bull Market, Once This Bear Market Ends !

The current Bull Market
is only Major wave 1 of Primary III,
as labeled.


Historically,
Primary Wave III's, (in long cycle waves),
are 15+ years in length.


Refer to 2011 Bear Market for Example

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After the expected
Major wave 2 Bear Market ends,
the Primary Wave III Secular Bull Market - Will Resume.


The market continues to generally track
as expected.


After a five wave bull market,
with a subdividing third wave,
from SPX 1810 to SPX 2941,
the market reversed and appears to be
in a potentially short-lived bear market
.


Our long term SPX count remains the same.

Five Intermediate waves up,
with a subdividing third wave,
from early-2016 to late-2018
to complete a Major wave 1 bull market
(1810-2941).


After that high
the market entered what we suspect
will be a short-lived Major wave 2 bear market,
with a possible loss of 15% to 20%.


The first decline of this bear market
bottomed in October at SPX 2604.


After the expected
Major wave 2 Bear Market ends,
the Primary III Secular Bull Market will resume.

https://caldaro.wordpress.com/2018/11/17/weekend-update-678/

https://caldaro.wordpress.com/2018/11/10/weekend-update-677/


https://caldaro.wordpress.com/


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