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Replies to #242 on PTS, Inc. (PTSH)
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thepreacher

11/02/06 8:49 PM

#243 RE: DonLeopoldo #242

Does anyone know how the market will respond to this news. Is this going to be good for the share holders? Please explain the news item.
DV
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DonLeopoldo

11/02/06 10:14 PM

#245 RE: DonLeopoldo #242

((( PTSH ))) MULTIBAGGER. R/M NEWS HUGE !!!

DAC 1.000 O/S receives 130,000 x 1 DBAC shares = 130 M

DBAC O/S = 181 M

PTSH owns 130M/181M = 72 % of DBAC

The other 28% of DBAC = 51 M shares, belongs to PWVG ex-shareholders.

If only the $5,3 M contract is considered, and if profits are 30% of revenue, then

$5,3 M / 181 M shares = 0,0293 $ revenue per share at DBAC

30% profits x 0,0293 = 0,0088 $ EPS at DBAC

consider PE=20, then

PPS (DBAC)= PExEPS = 20 x 0,0088 $ = 0,176 $

http://img224.imageshack.us/img224/7699/ptshdbac02nov06diarioao9.png

PWVG closed at 0,18 $ yesterday, prior to the name change to DBAC.

When the dealing was inked, PWVG's SMA(10) was 0,25 $.

The difference from 0,0176 to 0,25 $ surelly is due to other revenues from PWVG and DBA, other than the 5,3 M contract.

it also matches, that 0,0176 DBAC' PPS due to the $5,3M DBA's contract, is the 70% of 0,025 $ (PWVR, or DBAC)' SMA(20) as of the day of the R/M agreement.

Obviously, DBA has some more revenues than the $5,3M contract, and the 70% is a little lesser than the 72% stake of DBA in DBAC.

All numbers match, as of the public numbers, from DBAC's PPS at the date of the R/M PR, the date of the agreement 2 weeks ago, when the SMA(10) of DBAC (ex-PWVG) was 0,25$, the O/S numbers, DBA's 72% stake in DBAC, PWVG's 18% stake in DBAC, and the known revenues in DBA.

Considering SMA(20) or SMA(10), doesn't make more than a 10% difference, as both averages almost matched at that date, in a crossover.

Now, for the expected PPS in PTSH, as for the R/M:

72% of DBAC earnings belong to PTSH.

72% of DBAC = 130.000.000 shares belonging to PTSH

0,0088 $ EPS at DBAC x 130 M = $1,14 M (Earnings from DBAC that belong to PTSH).

PTSH O/S is around 350 M:

$1,14 M/ 350 M = 0,00326 $ EPS at PTSH due to its 72% ownership in DBAC.

Considering PE=20,... we get an estimated PPS at PTSH:

PTSH 's PPS = PEx EPS = 20 X 0,00326 = 0,0652 $

PTSH closed at 0,0120 today... 0,0652/0,0120= 5,43

PTSH X5 BAGGER based on the $5,3 M contract only, &considering a PE= of 20 (very conservative).

Considering a PE of 50, as from other posters, we get a PPS of 0,162 $ in PTSH.

Consider that there has been a recent contract signed, for PTSH, and we surely should end up trading around 0,100 to 0,250 $.

We could be sitting on top of a x10 to x20 bagger at today's closing PPS.

Note that the charts and PPS that TA showed for the long term, are also 0,100 $ to 0,250 $;... so, once again, the chart matches with the reality!!!

This chart was annotated 3 weeks ago, and today matches with the numbers that have come out !!!...

http://img19.imageshack.us/img19/9067/ptsh13oct2006semanal2aosus6.png

I could see a x50 bagger from the PPS where I bought it, and posted it at 0,0040 $.



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