News Focus
News Focus
icon url

Nestegg McMuffin

08/30/18 5:03 PM

#297 RE: bar1080 #296

I’m a solo stock amateur. I only got into TPL in April @ $540 when a good money manager acquaintance laid it all out for me. Too much detail to post here but if you look at Horizon Kinetics (who have over 20% of their fund in TPL), their newsletters lay out their research and thinking.
The only way this stock tanks is if gas prices completely collapse and Chevron etc. cancel their billion dollar drilling projects.
Projected growth is really strong, but real revenue spike will come in next two years as the new wells start producing. TPL gets 1/16 of production in royalties. Cash cow IMO.
icon url

Enterprising Investor

08/30/18 6:33 PM

#298 RE: bar1080 #296

Believe it or not, someone actually recommended shorting TPL when trading at $146.31 in June 2015.

https://www.valueinvestorsclub.com/idea/TEXAS_PACIFIC_LAND_TRUST/136923

I paid $194.80 on 8/20/2014 and then doubled my stake by paying $148.80 on 3/12/2015. Average cost is $171.80. Then sat back and watched as WTI to continue to fall in price.

My earnings yield is 10.5 percent ($18.04 TTM/$171.80 cost).

TPL is considered a permanent holding.
icon url

couldbebetter

08/30/18 8:04 PM

#299 RE: bar1080 #296

bar1080, Perhaps you read some posts of mine on the Yahoo board where
I post as "Glenn" and on Seeking Alpha I post as MJ-07. Granted, posters
share information, much of it from Horizon Kinets and/or Murray Stahl.
A long time ago those folks had some very good insights as to where TPL
was headed and why. There are many excellent posters on these forums
many who are either in the business and some who have been invested here
for a long time. One reason I enjoy posting about TPL is that it is
"unique." They carry no debt, cannot issue new stock (except for splits,)
Profita (are mainly) used to either buy back and cancel shares and pay
dividends. Show me one other company that operates with such rules. The
combination of the unique structure and rules combined with the dumb-luck
of owning nearly 900,000 acres of surface lands (and some royalty lands)
located mostly in the Permian Basin...you get a very interesting reaction.
One time a Seeking Alpha writer suggested that the stock be shorted...TPL
was at $273 the day the article came out. Its title if you care to look it up: "Texas Pacific Land Trust Way Overvalued."