I have no idea. I am not a chartist or anything like that. I agree that the momo will end at some point and nat gas will take a swoon. Who knows when and how far that swoon will go? Even in the crazy nat gas price spike winter of 2013 / 2014, nat gas sold off for a time in December, as the weather went through a mild spell. Then, winter hit with ferocity rarely seen in the lower 48 of the US. Where I live in NJ, we literally did not see temps above freezing (32 F) for 3 weeks straight, day or night. Now that's cold, and nat gas responded with draws of well over 200 bcf per week and prices that shot up above $6 per bcf. There is some speculation that we may have cold like that this winter. If it hits like that, I think we could see draws over 300 bcf per week, given the big increases in demand for nat gas over the last few years and the leveling off of supplies over the past year.
Its all about timing with nat gas. Playing it short can be very profitable, but you have to get the timing right.
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