We've bounced pretty consistent off of the low 3.80's that looks like bottom support to me and with financials coming agreed this pullback may be short lived but I've been more of an optimist lately.
Please correct me if I'm completely misunderstanding your comment (very new to TA).
I hope this post link below helps, it was on the TWMJF board before it was closed.
-Pay attention to who the Market Participants are, why they are here. -Watch the volume money flow. -Watch momentum which affected by fundamentals and speculative interests.