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trader53

01/22/16 4:45 AM

#81453 RE: trader53 #81399

S&P 500 - for Friday, January 22, 2016

https://caldaro.wordpress.com/

Thursday Update

Posted on January 21, 2016




SHORT TERM: volatility continues, DOW +116

The market broke its gap opening streak today,
ending it at 13 days in a row.

After a quiet opening the volatility began.

After hitting a low of SPX 1849,
the market rallied to 1890, dropped to 1860,
and rallied to 1878 just before the close.

From yesterday’s potential downtrend low at SPX 1812
the market has rallied in a series of corrective waves.

Three up to SPX 1876,
three down to 1849,
three more up to 1890,
down to 1860,
and now on the rise again.

Normal bear market uptrends
retrace anywhere from 38.2% to 61.8%
of the previous downtrend (i.e. 2116-1812).

So far the retracement has been 25.6%.

Short term support
remains at the 1841 and 1828 pivots,
with resistance at the 1869 and 1901 pivots.

Short term momentum
hit overbought
during today’s rally and ended the day at neutral.

Best to your trading!







* Note - The October 2015 Bottom, resembles 1998 and 2011 Bottoms


LONG TERM: Bear market

MEDIUM TERM: Downtrend

* Primary Waves I and II - completed in 2011

* Primary Waves III and IV - completed in 2015

* Primary Wave V - Failed


















* Note - The October 2015 Bottom, resembles 1998 and 2011 Bottoms





































LONG TERM: Bear market

MEDIUM TERM: Downtrend

* Primary Waves I and II - completed in 2011

* Primary Waves III and IV - completed in 2015

* Primary Wave V - Failed








Since 1929 there have been 13 bull markets
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=116564037






http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p83822707561

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p43140782454
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trader53

01/22/16 4:59 PM

#81477 RE: trader53 #81399

S&P 500 - for Monday, January 25, 2016

https://caldaro.wordpress.com/

Friday Update

Posted on January 22, 2016




SHORT TERM: gap up and go, DOW +211

Wild week!

After opening on Tuesday at SPX 1901
the market dropped to 1812 by Wednesday.

Yet after today’s gap up opening
the market has made the round trip
back to where it started ending at SPX 1907.

Yesterday we noted a seven wave sequence up
from the recent SPX 1812 low to 1890,
then a drop to SPX 1860.

After that we have rallied: 1877-1865-1907-1891-1909.

If we tentatively count
the rally to SPX 1890 as Minor a,
the decline to SPX 1860 as Minor b,
we are currently in Minor c of Intermediate wave A,
of a Major wave B uptrend.

More on this in the weekend update.

That daily RSI positive divergence
certainly has kicked off a good rally.

Best to your weekend!







* Note - The October 2015 Bottom, resembles 1998 and 2011 Bottoms


LONG TERM: Bear market

MEDIUM TERM: Downtrend

* Primary Waves I and II - completed in 2011

* Primary Waves III and IV - completed in 2015

* Primary Wave V - Failed


















* Note - The October 2015 Bottom, resembles 1998 and 2011 Bottoms





































LONG TERM: Bear market

MEDIUM TERM: Downtrend

* Primary Waves I and II - completed in 2011

* Primary Waves III and IV - completed in 2015

* Primary Wave V - Failed








Since 1929 there have been 13 bull markets
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=116564037






http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p83822707561

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p43140782454