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trader53

01/11/16 4:11 AM

#80902 RE: trader53 #80825

S&P 500 - for Monday January 11, 2016

https://caldaro.wordpress.com/

Weekend Update

Posted on January 9, 2016




LONG TERM: bull market under pressure

Since the August-November uptrend rallied 249 points,
and the correction, since then,
has already declined 198 points,
it is getting close to a full retracement.


A full retracement at this stage of the bull market,
in OEW terms,
would probably suggest Primary V ended
with a fifth wave failure at SPX 2116/2104,
and a bear market is now underway.

Should the market drop another 3%,
it dropped 6% this week,
the bull market is probably over.

The stock market usually loses,
during a Cycle wave [2] bear market,
45% to 50% of its value.


So the bear market could be quite severe.







* Note - The October 2015 Bottom, resembles 1998 and 2011 Bottoms



LONG TERM: bull market

MEDIUM TERM: Uptrend



* Primary Waves I and II - completed in 2011

* Primary Waves III and IV - completed in 2015


* Primary Wave V should carry the market
to All time New Highs.
















* Note - The October 2015 Bottom, resembles 1998 and 2011 Bottoms





































LONG TERM: bull market

MEDIUM TERM: Uptrend

* Primary Waves I and II - completed in 2011

* Primary Waves III and IV - completed in 2015

* Primary Wave V should carry the market
to All time New Highs.









Since 1929 there have been 13 bull markets
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=116564037






http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p83822707561

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p43140782454