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Zeev Hed

07/08/03 4:00 PM

#127727 RE: goodluck #127714

I think that the "economic theory" and social theory the fed are following is that a bubble can be unwound gradually without dislocations, and that social dislocations have a human and economic cost which cannot be foreseen, including social unrest and major loss of lives and property associated therewith. Watch Europe in the next few years (you see signs of "national" discontent in France, not only with a major muslim minority, but also with bussing neo national movements like the Basques, the Corsicans and in Alsace Loraine. Economic pressures are a fertile ground for various demagogues coming on the scene and promising panacea for the population's soul, but i digress into politics.... (g)
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Public Heel

07/08/03 4:39 PM

#127775 RE: goodluck #127714

I see only one way out: inflation, and lots of it. That's what debtors always want, and we are the biggest debtor ever. Fortunately for us, our debt is denominated in our own currency, which we can depreciate at will. I see inflation in the next 30 years at least equal to that of the last 30 years, which I think would mean an 70-80% drop in the $US.

Consequently, I see debt (real estate loans) and gold as the places to be...