Thanks for the advice. I sincerely appreciate it. I'm probably just calculating the probabilities of the wrong events. I'm going to start work on an updated model tonight based on some ideas I've been thinking about.
On the other hand, if we start to fade here, everything on the 60-min is pointed down and we could get a quick and nasty sell-off into EOD that would set us up for a rally over the next couple of days. Maybe I shouldn't be, but I'm still pretty comfortable with saying today should be down.