100% agree with all of your points, assuming their gold production at namoya doesn't start growing dramatically which is possible but I don't think probable. They poured 3k + 3k + 4k = 10k of gold this past 2 qtr.
They expect at a minimum 8k ounces per month at namoya which will be an additional 14k ounces per qtr or about $15.5 million with gold where it is today. That makes me feel more comfortable.