FINANCIAL MARKETS FORECAST AND ANALYSIS Monday, June 12, 2006 1:52 GMT Weekly Report By Robert McHugh at Main Line Investors, Inc. http://www.technicalindicatorindex.com
World Equity Markets Plunge After Latest Hindenburg Omen - More Decline to Come?
Since our most recent Hindenburg Omen Cluster formed, from April 7th through May 11th, both domestic and international equity markets have plunged, some of them crashing. The Hindenburg Omen warns of a unique set of market circumstances present that are quite rare, where we often see plunges follow within four months. We cover the particulars in a Guest Article at our website.
We first reported the April 7th Hindenburg Omen observation in April 7th's weekend issue, no. 305, available in the archives at www.technicalindicatorindex.com. We included the theory of the signal, past history and performance, and pointed out the risks of a possible stock market crash or plunge within the next four months.
This week we want to point out the devastation to equity markets that has followed. In the United States, while all the major averages are down sharply, below we see the Housing Index has crashed, down 23.3 percent. We also see that the HUI Amex Gold Bugs stock index has crashed, down 28.6 percent. The Russell 2000 small caps index has plunged 12.7 percent.
Internationally, India crashed 26.6 percent through June 8th, Japan's Tokyo Nikkei plunged 16.7 percent (we consider a crash to be a 15.0 percent decline or greater), South Korea plunged 16.5 percent, and Germany's DAX plunged 12.6 percent -- all since April, and many since May 11th.
But this is just as of June 8th. We believe there is more decline coming.
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