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John126

06/22/03 10:29 AM

#122338 RE: Zeev Hed #122337

Zeev- I know you are mum on roadmaps now but I recall a past roadmap that called for a January high in the 1700 area fueled by enticing J6P back in with chants of the new bull followed by declines for 4-5 months as economic data got better but not good enough.

This was 'interupted' by the war scenario but here we are. Interesting No?

John







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obiad

06/22/03 7:14 PM

#122380 RE: Zeev Hed #122337

Zeev,

The link below points to latest (June 19, 2003) stock market predictive model by UCLA physicist Didier Sornette. His modeling suggests big drop in the markets by spring/summer 2004. My inclination was to dismiss his work when I first read about it some months ago, but if one looks back to Sornette's prediction in Oct 2002 he hit the spring 2003 rally bang on. Just lucky ? Too abstract and esoteric to merit credibility ? Thanks.

http://www.ess.ucla.edu/faculty/sornette/prediction/index.asp#prediction