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Replies to #30285 on The Black Box
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dieselfuel

05/20/06 4:50 PM

#30286 RE: dfi trader #30285

"4 year cycle low coming up in the fall."

That's what "everyone" is saying. Maybe we get that "low" now and rise for the rest of the year.

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CaribbeanJim

05/21/06 10:45 AM

#30288 RE: dfi trader #30285

Actually, there is a larger "super cycle" going on that is every 8 years. If you notice by your chart, every 8 years we have a major correction. 1990, 1998, and now we are at the start of this one right now.

This was the first time in 20 years that that the Nasdaq has closed 6 days below the BollingerBand line. Alan Greenspan basically said last week that the housing bubble has popped. It seems fitting for a major 8 year correction to be in progress right now.