Replies to post #15138 on Canopy Growth Corp (WEED)

[alpine79]

I think $100/order is quite conservative. That was about the average in the second quarter with very limited inventory. It was more like $140-$144 in the third quarter (don't have an order number on the first day of Q3, so it depending how you extrapolate affects the ave $/order).

[alpine79]

Also, the average orders/day is slowly increasing so it will change with the timeframe you look at.

I plotted the order numbers in excel, and the orders track fairly closely to y=1800e^(0.00765x) where y is the order number, and x is the number of days after Jun 19, 2014. (excel actually shows a trend line that is a bit more aggressive, but I toned it down a bit).

Its not really my intent to predict order numbers from this, but rather compare them as they come to see if they are above, below, or tracking with the curve, and the curve might need to be adjusted as we gain more history to base it off of.