I don't pay much attention to predictions of sales except for relatively mature products in
stable market segments. Any number of factors can make huge differences either way.
I'd rather see some hard in-the-bag sales numbers from Intel and its OEM partners.
However, *if* MDR's estimate is in the ballpark it would be quite an accomplishment for
a new architecture in the current business capital spending environment. The 200k/yr
figure nearly doubles the peak sales of Alpha processors, and approaches the peak of
HPPA processor sales. IIRC the maximum number of SPARC processors Sun ever
shipped in a year was around 550k. BTW, I think AMD will be hard pressed to sell 200k
Opterons this year, even with bargain basement pricing.
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