Anything is possible going forward...the trick is deciding if anything is probable.
Obviously you and everyone else should take my posted stuff with a grain of salt. Of course I think some of it is quite brilliant LOL.
I'm a day trader - I don't short...my market bias is always bullish. My track record at predicting anything in the markets that takes longer than a few minutes is about 50/50... I have only a slightly better ratio with my day trading, averaging a 56% win/loss ratio that goes back years... It was about the same percentage back when I was swing trading in the '90s and before that in the '80s when I was doing stock/option buy-writes.
Even so, the fascination with tracking the longer term and predicting price movements is still with me. And I appreciate everyone else's guesses even when I disagree with them.