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CoalTrain

04/18/06 1:38 AM

#7330 RE: Amaunet #7318

I am currently in Mexico and I think that to put things in proper context Americans need to realize that perhaps the over ridng larger factors revolve around the TWO WAY IMMIGRATION currently going on.

American retiree's are moving to Mexico in numbers that increase noticeably every month. At least thats what realtors in Baja and other gringo zones are saying. Figures I have read are saying retiree's are typically bringing one to three million dollars per person or couple. It was an interesting article revolving around the old MLATS from the war on drugs. Search engine searches on things from the article were suspiciously thin so I wont post it. Instead I will encourage people to do their own research.

I think one way or another the rich in the states are going to bring in more cheap labour. If not through amnesty, some other way. The two way migration is going to have a leveling effect on both economies. How big a leveling effect? I dunnow. We will see. The effect is already large in Northern Mexico in terms of land being driven up in price in places Gringo's like.

This TWO WAY IMMIGRATION is already having an effect of screwing the middle class and poor on both sides of the border while the rich get richer. What a surprise huh? It will get a lot worse BUT in spite of this short term and intermediate term I see it as American thugs gaining the upper hand on CHinese thugs.

Also consider that the drug gangs from Gautamala are moving further North all the time.

WHO are they?

People trained in central America by the School of assasains in fort benning georgia. HMmmmmmm...

From my experience listening to many political conversations amongst the upper middle class and rich, Castro is resected but Chavez is not. I am sure in Chiapas this would be VERY different. Chavez is considered a nut case buy some and unproven by others. Again this is amongst the upper middle class and rich.

Liberals have a really big blind spot for assuming immigrant workers and othert oppressed Latinos are blindly democrats. Loyal Catholics? Loyal democrats? Right. Latino's helped vote in Reagan if I am not mistaken. There is zero gaurentee amnesty is going to help the democratic vote. Note that it matters in a one party system anyway.

Mexico is the ONE place on the face of the planet I have been where the U.S. is not losing populatiy like a falling stone. Short term and intermediate term I think America is winning the popularity contest as far south as Gaudalajara. I am not sure if the Gautamalan drug gangs are as far north as gaudalajara but they are close.

Long term is a completely different ball of wax and places like Chiapas are a whole nutha ball of wax. I am refering to "modern" Mexico.
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Amaunet

05/04/06 10:35 AM

#7728 RE: Amaunet #7318

Mexico conservative with small lead in new poll
Thu May 4, 2006 12:53 AM ET


MEXICO CITY, May 3 (Reuters) - Mexico's ruling party presidential candidate has taken a slight lead in a poll released on Wednesday, confirming his new position as front-runner ahead of July elections.

The new poll by Consulta Mitofsky gave Felipe Calderon 35 percent of the expected vote -- four points higher than last month and one point more than his leftist rival and long-time election favorite Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador.

The survey, presented on television news channel Televisa, showed Lopez Obrador with 34 percent, shedding four percentage points since last month's poll. Roberto Madrazo, of the main opposition group, the Institutional Revolutionary Party, slipped two percentage points to 27 percent.

It is the latest in successive string of poll to show Calderon in the lead.

Lopez Obrador has taken a battering from a campaign that presented him as a danger for Mexico. His failure to defend himself against the attacks or take part in a recent televised debate in which Calderon performed strongly are widely seen as having contributed to his sliding popularity.

The poll researchers did not say when the survey was taken, how many people were interviewed or what the margin of error was.



© Reuters 2006. All Rights Reserved

http://today.reuters.com/investing/financeArticle.aspx?type=bondsNews&storyID=2006-05-04T045347Z....