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chipdesigner

04/08/06 7:32 PM

#3714 RE: mmoy #3713

Well, housing deflation will rapidly cause rate cuts. The Fed has probably already overshot, due to the lag in impact from their moves thus far, but they'll probably raise once more, maybe twice, and then-- oops! home equity ATMs are gone, consumer spending slows, cut, cut, cut...

IMO.
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jhalada

04/09/06 2:25 AM

#3733 RE: mmoy #3713

mmoy,

Long-term interest rates flirted with 5% yesterday and it was a really, really good time to take profits. I went to cash in the morning and only purchased a little CEF later in the day.

I am having a little trouble understanding the time scale of your investment decisions. Ok, long term rates are around 5, and therefore you went to cash.

These things (interest rates) don't change like (April) weather.

Than, later that same afternoon you bought something. But just in the morning, it was good to be in cash...

Joe