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Alias Born 03/18/2011

Re: None

Saturday, 02/15/2014 3:50:42 PM

Saturday, February 15, 2014 3:50:42 PM

Post# of 80876
I have plenty to learn from watching this stock, and it has been fun and interesting, but my premise for a long win has not changed very much since I have been here. They need to show that they are going to do what they say that they are going to do. Whether obus sells or stays, the fundamental story remains and has remained the same.

I think, however, a few of us have identified a pattern. The pattern has been a good spike early in the year USUALLY followed by news that drops the price. If I remember correctly, usually there is some pretty good hating going on at this bored when going into the Arnold. I still think that we will be seeing something and I think it is going to be tied around the Arnold.. this time for the positive.

Splits accounted for

2011
1/20 42.50
2/1 123.26

2012
3/10 5.19
4/2 31.88

2013
1/25 4.07
2/4 7.90

Other than the obvious pricing funniness.... the pattern, IMO, is there. will it hold for 2014?

I don't take the opportunities that are in front of me? I think the books I have written, the houses I own (well, the bank does I guess) and the schooling I am going back to next month - even though I have a comfortable job (even a beer fridge with Bells Two Hearted in it) I will be quitting to take a risk... all of these things might actually point to me taking advantage of many opportunities around me and being pretty dang good at it.

From the stock perspective, I actually have taken up a new strategy for my FB money that has been fun. Inspired by my TWTR trade... I followed up with S, RAX, CAB and WTWR... bad news bounce plays of household names. RAX didn't turn out well and I am still waiting on WTWR, but the others have made up for it bringing me to the green(such a terrible word). Either FB will get back to my target of 56-58 or I will continue doing this while it works.

Perhaps the difference is that I try and make minimum risk for maximum reward vs betting the entire farm on one are two sub penny or pinky stocks. While both you and JLTG have straight up said multiple times that my strategy is flat out wrong, I tend to believe that people following the all or nothing strategy CAN win and win big, but on the other side of all is nothing.

If I were to put this into the language that you might understand LC:

<4 paragraphs of nonsense>

Chicken toast toast to the eleventeenty B.

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