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Re: GrthzGd post# 173820

Wednesday, 02/05/2014 2:54:17 PM

Wednesday, February 05, 2014 2:54:17 PM

Post# of 257580

That strikes me as the most important assumption in your [ENTA valuation] model. What does the evidence behind it consist of…?

The 350K number in my model is based on: i) the history of HCV treatment in the US and EU dating back to the advent of interferon and ribavirin as the standard of care; and ii) market predictions by various HCV companies during investor presentations, most notably those by GILD, VRTX, and ACHN.

“The efficient-market hypothesis may be
the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated
in any area of human knowledge!”

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