Monday, January 20, 2014 10:16:12 PM
Dear aeassa.
Successful investors depend on ability to predict the future. You need not be a manager to become a predictor of future events. You are trying to predict the future of Intel using the scientific method. You are looking at development in the past, coming up with a theory that may explain the reasons and factors that led to the observe outcome. Next you are looking at the present factors and derived the expected results, assuming your theory is correct. If the future outcome agrees with your prediction you have a tool for successful investing. If the future does not agree with your theory you modify your theory to reflect the old and the new data and form a modified prediction for the future.
By publishing and arguing your theories you are educating yourself, gaining a deeper understanding of behavior of the market. I have been following you for a long time. I predict that you will become a professional analyst and a successful investor.
Successful investors depend on ability to predict the future. You need not be a manager to become a predictor of future events. You are trying to predict the future of Intel using the scientific method. You are looking at development in the past, coming up with a theory that may explain the reasons and factors that led to the observe outcome. Next you are looking at the present factors and derived the expected results, assuming your theory is correct. If the future outcome agrees with your prediction you have a tool for successful investing. If the future does not agree with your theory you modify your theory to reflect the old and the new data and form a modified prediction for the future.
By publishing and arguing your theories you are educating yourself, gaining a deeper understanding of behavior of the market. I have been following you for a long time. I predict that you will become a professional analyst and a successful investor.
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