Well, I now have one long-term (hopefully) trading position - GOOG (short). I'll be stopped at 434 for breakeven, but IMO there is a good chance to catch a major move down.
Re XAU 140 - just congestion in the chart. No strong opinion.
The only tools which work for me in HUI trading are Rydex flows and Hulbert's sentiment data. Both are bullish IMO. So I don't think miners are good long-term shorts.