The Question and Answer Board

[sophist]

Correct about what? That the company is a bad investment? The preponderance of the currently available evidence seems to indicate otherwise, but as we are only dealing with probabilities and not certainties, there is a chance he might turn out to be correct. But is that judgment based on a rational consideration of all available evidence, or just a contrarian attitude? If someone keeps telling you that you should not drive or fly, because getting in a car or flying in a plane can get you killed, he may turn out to be correct some day. Does that mean you should not drive or fly, or that his warning was rationally based? How would you like to hear this warning every time you got in a car or plane? It might get a little annoying without really providing you with any rational guidance.