Given that two competing drugs-ABBV/ENTA and GILD's-are hitting the HCV treatment market at the same time, there must be a…chance that a third one could also arise, and severely reduce both pricing and sales. Have you given any thought to this in your model?
No all-oral regimen from another company has competitive data yet from a large phase-2b or phase-3 trial in genotype-1 patients. When such data become available, I’ll adjust the model accordingly.
p.s. Considerations such as the above are part of the reason I aimed to make the ENTA valuation model conservative, particularly with respect to pricing.
“The efficient-market hypothesis may be the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated in any area of human knowledge!”