I think that will be the indicator that will tell us when our next major top has arrived. That is something that can't be predicted, but I agree with you that it will happen close to 2010 +/- 2 years. It obviously is not here yet so I am LT bullish.
Jan 4 - We have transitioned into a bear market. Completely different rules apply. May 23 - IMO, any price at/above this close makes a great Nasdaq/SP500 short.