Tornado Alley (PROG)

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The Six Big Takeaways From the Government Shutdown

By Nate Silver on October 10, 2013 [ the six ]

1. The media is probably overstating the magnitude of the shutdown's political impact.

2. The impact of the 1995-96 shutdowns is overrated in Washington's mythology.

3. Democrats face extremely unfavorable conditions in trying to regain the House.

4. The polling data on the shutdown is not yet all that useful, and we lack data on most important measures of voter preferences.

5. President Obama's change in tactics may be less about a change of heart and more about a change in incentives.

6. The increasing extent of GOP partisanship is without strong recent precedent,
and contributes to the systemic uncertainty about political outcomes.

much more on each and well worth the read ..
http://www.grantland.com/fivethirtyeight/story/_/id/9802433/nate-silver-us-government-shutdown#

out of context somewhat, yet fits ..

Beware of irrational exuberance.
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