Your Economy (No Politics)

[xe2dy]

Right on A62, this board beats the 'L' out of TV news!

These folks make the following early prediction for 2006 hurricane season.

"Table 4 shows our final adjusted early December forecast for the 2006 season which is a combination of our derived full 52-year statistical forecast, our analog forecast and qualitative adjustments for other factors not explicitly contained in either scheme. We foresee another very active Atlantic basin hurricane season. We anticipate that ENSO will likely be neutral or slightly cool and will therefore play a minor enhancing role for the 2006 season. Warm sea surface temperatures are likely to continue being present in the tropical and North Atlantic during 2006, due to the fact that we are in a positive phase of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) (i.e., a strong phase of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation)."

Scroll to the bottom of the page and you will note that these guys have underestimated the actual number of intense hurricanes for the last two years.

http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/2005/dec2005/

Now we won't find this info on TV. Not for another eight months anyway!

http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/