well lets hope we are both not wrong. its a weird mix out there in chartland. spx/dow/tran/rut/bkx all look pretty good. the nas/ndx/sox/btk not so good. the daily sto on 14,3,3 (the settings i use in all daily charts on header page) allow for a bounce, but imo it should be nothing more than a day or two, then the downtrend (by my definition) should resume with much more authourity at least as far as the non techs are concerned.
im a trader. as a trader, i should never zip up either suit too tight. for that reason i am forcing myself to play a portion of the account countertrend (now up) and a much bigger part down. granted i have a large long positon now, but felt risk reward was right and like i said last night, japan is an isolated trade taht just happened to occur when i had another long trade in my sights. also my recent shorts have been light as i wasnt convinved that the downside warranted a full position.
we are still in a zone where we could go up pretty good. i think it is unlikley we hit the highs from monday, but am open to it.
next week shall be interesting.
good luck to us both,
steve

2005...the year of the shorts and small dogs.