Sunday, June 09, 2013 7:30:18 AM
Well, I was speaking of the muni version but their charts track about the same, which is to say poorly lately. Both have an average maturity of about 7 years.
Vanguard bond funds have been damn smart, conservative, investments for decades, but there's no place to hide in bonds if rates soar as they did in the 1950s thru the 1970s. Shorter average maturity is better. In the 1970s I owned money market funds when almost no one had heard of them. They were fabulous as rates rose above about 16% around 1980 (and prime rate hit 21%).
We have a generation of bond buyers who have never known anything but falling rates. They'll be in for a devastating surprise if we see rates returning to historic norms... say 4-6%. Anything leveraged will be far worse yet!
Congrats on owning low cost Vanguard products. I'm sure Buffett would agree.
Vanguard bond funds have been damn smart, conservative, investments for decades, but there's no place to hide in bonds if rates soar as they did in the 1950s thru the 1970s. Shorter average maturity is better. In the 1970s I owned money market funds when almost no one had heard of them. They were fabulous as rates rose above about 16% around 1980 (and prime rate hit 21%).
We have a generation of bond buyers who have never known anything but falling rates. They'll be in for a devastating surprise if we see rates returning to historic norms... say 4-6%. Anything leveraged will be far worse yet!
Congrats on owning low cost Vanguard products. I'm sure Buffett would agree.
Recent ARR News
- Stonegate Capital Partners Updates Coverage on Armour Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR) Q126 • Newsfile • 04/24/2026 08:24:00 PM
- ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. Announces Q1 Results and March 31, 2026 Financial Position • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/22/2026 08:15:00 PM
- ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. Announces May 2026 Dividend Rate Per Common Share • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/21/2026 08:20:00 PM
- ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. First Quarter 2026 Webcast Scheduled for April 23, 2026 • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/21/2026 08:15:00 PM
- ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. Confirms April 2026 Common Share and Q2 2026 Series C Preferred Share Dividends • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/01/2026 08:15:00 PM
- ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. Announces Guidance for April 2026 Dividend Rate per Common Share • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/25/2026 08:15:00 PM
- Stonegate Capital Partners Updates Coverage on Armour Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR) 2025 Q4 • Newsfile • 02/20/2026 02:52:00 PM
- ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. Announces Q4 Results and December 31, 2025 Financial Position • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 02/18/2026 09:15:00 PM
- ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. Announces March 2026 Dividend Rate per Common Share • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 02/17/2026 09:20:00 PM
- ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. Fourth Quarter 2025 Webcast Scheduled for February 19, 2026 • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 02/17/2026 09:15:00 PM
- ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. Announces February 2026 Dividend Rate per Common Share • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 01/29/2026 09:15:00 PM
- ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. Confirms January 2026 Common Share and Q1 2026 Series C Preferred Share Dividends • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 01/02/2026 09:15:00 PM
- ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. Announces Guidance for January 2026 Dividend Rate Per Common Share • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 12/23/2025 09:15:00 PM
- Stonegate Capital Partners Initiates Coverage on Armour Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR) • Newsfile • 12/23/2025 09:14:00 PM
- ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. Announces December 2025 Dividend Rate Per Common Share • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 11/26/2025 09:30:00 PM
- ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. Announces Q3 Results and September 30, 2025 Financial Position • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 10/22/2025 08:15:25 PM
- ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. Announces November 2025 Dividend Rate Per Common Share • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 10/21/2025 08:20:00 PM
- ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Webcast Scheduled for October 23, 2025 • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 10/21/2025 08:15:00 PM
- ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. Confirms October 2025 Common Share and Q4 2025 Series C Preferred Share Dividends • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 10/01/2025 08:15:00 PM
- ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. Announces Guidance for October 2025 Dividend Rate Per Common Share • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 09/24/2025 08:15:00 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/27/2025 08:18:57 PM
- ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. Announces September 2025 Dividend Rate Per Common Share • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 08/27/2025 08:15:00 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/22/2025 08:57:13 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/22/2025 08:56:08 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/22/2025 08:55:17 PM
