The Black Box

[was Steve]

wahz,
Here is a link to the summary i put together based on the last 9 instances up to dec 12,2002.
steve

http://www.siliconinvestor.com/stocktalk/msg.gsp?msgid=18331323

start reading here at this post which summed up the work and read thru the next 30-50 posts as there are additional comments.

going shopping soon so cant add much now.
steve

aj is very smart. i dont try to change his mind nor does he mine. we often have different views on the market and point out some charts that back up our perspectives. but if aj is looking for some downside on monday odds are in his favor it will happen. in the limited sample size of 9, the spx went negative at some point in all cases and was negative form the start in 8/9 cases.